Monday, April 17, 2017

Analysing America's Cruise Missile Attack in Syria

A multi-level analysis of the US cruise missile attack on Syria and its consequences

by The Saker


April 11, 2017 

[Please see original here for complete analysis. - Ape]


The latest US cruise missile attack on the Syrian airbase is an extremely important event in so many ways that it is important to examine it in some detail. I will try to do this today with the hope to be able to shed some light on a rather bizarre attack which will nevertheless have profound consequences. But first, let’s begin by looking at what actually happened.

The pretext:


I don’t think that anybody seriously believes that Assad or anybody else in the Syrian government really ordered a chemical weapons attack on anybody. To believe that it would require you to find the following sequence logical: first, Assad pretty much wins the war against Daesh which is in full retreat. Then, the US declares that overthrowing Assad is not a priority anymore (up to here this is all factual and true). Then, Assad decides to use weapons he does not have. He decides to bomb a location with no military value, but with lots of kids and cameras. Then, when the Russians demand a full investigation, the Americans strike as fast as they can before this idea gets any support. And now the Americans are probing a possible Russian role in this so-called attack. Frankly, if you believe any of that, you should immediately stop reading and go back to watching TV.

For the rest of us, there are three options: 


A classical US-executed false flag a Syrian strike on a location which happened to be storing some kind of gas, possibly chlorine, but most definitely not sarin. This option requires you to believe in coincidences. I don’t. Unless, the US fed bad intelligence to the Syrians and got them to bomb a location where the US knew that toxic gas was stored.

What is evident is that the Syrians did not drop chemical weapons from their aircraft and that no chemical gas was ever stored at the al-Shayrat airbase. There is no footage showing any munitions or containers which would have delivered the toxic gas. As for US and other radar recordings, all they can show is that an aircraft was in the sky, its heading, altitude and speed. There is no way to distinguish a chemical munition or a chemical attack by means of radar.

Whatever option you chose, the Syrian government is obviously and self-evidently innocent of the accusation of having used chemical weapons. This is most likely a false flag attack.

Also, and just for the record, the US had been considering exactly such a false flag attack in the past. You can read everything about this plan here and here.

The attack:


American and Russian sources both agree on the following facts: 2 USN ships launched 59 Tomahawk cruise missiles at the Al Shayrat airfield in Syria. The US did not consult with the Russians on a political level, but through military channels the US gave Russia 2 hours advance warning. At this point the accounts begin to differ.

The Americans say that all missiles hit their targets. The Russians say that only 23 cruise missiles hit the airfield. The others are “unaccounted for”. Here I think that it is indisputable that the Americans are lying and the Russians are saying the truth: the main runway is intact (the Russian reporters provided footage proving this) and only one taxiway was hit. Furthermore, the Syrian Air Force resumed its operations within 24 hours. 36 cruise missiles have not reached their intended target. That is a fact.

It is also indisputable that there were no chemical munitions at this base as nobody, neither the Syrians nor the Russian reporters, had to wear any protective gear.

The missiles used in the attack, the Tomahawk, can use any combination of three guidance systems: GPS, inertial navigation and terrain mapping. There is no evidence and even no reports that the Russians shot even a single air-defense missile. In fact, the Russians had signed a memorandum with the USA which specifically committing Russia NOT to interfere with any US overflights, manned or not, over Syria (and vice versa).

While the Tomahawk cruise missile was developed in the 1980s, there is no reason to believe that the missiles used had exceeded their shelf live and there is even evidence that they were built in 2014. The Tomahawk is known to be accurate and reliable. There is absolutely no basis to suspect that over half of the missiles fired simply spontaneously malfunctioned. I therefore see only two possible explanations for what happened to the 36 missing cruise missiles:

Explanation A: 


Trump never intended to really hit the Syrians hard and this entire attack was just “for show” and the USN deliberately destroyed these missiles over the Mediterranean. That would make it possible for Trump to appear tough while not inflicting the kind of damage which would truly wreck his plans to collaborate with Russia. I do not believe in this explanation and I will explain why in the political analysis below.

Explanation B: 


The Russians could not legally shoot down the US missiles. Furthermore, it is incorrect to assume that these cruise missiles flew a direct course from the Mediterranean to their target (thereby almost overflying the Russian radar positions). Tomahawk were specifically built to be able to fly tangential courses around some radar types and they also have a very low RCS (radar visibility), especially in the frontal sector.

Some of these missiles were probably flying low enough not to be seen by Russian radars, unless the Russians had an AWACS in the air (I don’t know if they did). However, since the Russians were warned about the attack they had plenty of time to prepare their electronic warfare stations to “fry” and otherwise disable at least part of the cruise missiles.

I do believe that this is the correct explanation. I do not know whether the Russian were technically unable to destroy and confuse the 23 missiles which reached the base or whether a political decision was taken to let less than half of the cruise missiles through in order to disguise the Russian role in the destruction of 36 missiles.

What I am sure of is that 36 advanced cruise missile do not “just disappear”. There are two reasons why the Russians would have decided to use their EW systems and not their missiles: first, it provides them “plausible deninability” (at least for the general public, there is no doubt that US signal intelligence units did detect the Russian electronic interference (unless it happened at very low power and very high frequency and far away inland), and because by using EW systems it allowed them to keep their air defense missiles for the protection of their own forces.

Can the Russian really do this?


Take a look at this image, taken from a Russian website, which appears to have been made by the company Kret which produces some of the key Russian electronic warfare systems. Do you notice that on the left hand side, right under the AWACs aircraft you can clearly see a Tomahawk type missile turning around and eventually exploding at sea?

How this is done is open to conjecture. All that we are told is that the missile is given a “false target” but for our purposes this really does not matter. What matters is that the Russians have basically leaked the information that they are capable of turning cruise missiles around.

There are other possibilities such as an directed energy beams which basically fries or, at least, confuses the terrain following and or inertial navigation systems. Some have suggested a “kill switch” which would shut down the entire missile. Maybe. Again, this really doesn’t matter for our purposes.

What matters is that the Russian have the means to spoof, redirect or destroy US cruise missiles. It sure appears to be that for the first time these systems were used in anger.

Celebrating Dispossession in Palestine

Israel’s festivities will highlight 50 years of shame

by Jonathan Cook - The National



April 17, 2017

Israel is to hold lavish celebrations over the coming weeks to mark the 50th anniversary of what it calls the "liberation of Judea, Samaria and the Golan Heights" – or what the rest of us describe as the birth of the occupation.

The centrepiece event will take place in Gush Etzion, south of Jerusalem. The West Bank settlement "bloc" enjoys wide support in Israel, not least because it was established long ago by the supposedly left-wing Labour party, now heading the opposition.

The jubilee is a potent reminder that for Israelis, most of whom have never known a time before the occupation, Israel’s rule over the Palestinians seems as irreversible as the laws of nature. But the extravagance of the festivities also underscores the growth over five decades of Israel’s self-assurance as an occupier.

Documents found this month from Israel’s archives reveal that when Israel captured East Jerusalem in 1967, its first concern was to hoodwink the international community.

The foreign ministry ordered Israel’s ambassadors to mischaracterise its illegal annexation of East Jerusalem as a simple "municipal fusion". To avoid diplomatic reprisals, Israel claimed it was necessary to ease the provision of essential services to the occupied Palestinian population.

Interestingly, those drafting the order advised that the deception was unlikely to succeed. The United States had already insisted that Israel commit no unilateral moves.

But within months Israel had evicted thousands of Palestinians from the Old City and destroyed their homes. Washington and Europe have been turning a blind eye to such actions ever since.

One of the Zionist movement’s favourite early slogans was: "Dunam after dunam, goat after goat". The seizure of small areas of territory measured in dunams, the demolition of the odd home, and the gradual destruction of herding animals would slowly drive the Palestinians off most of their land, "liberating" it for Jewish colonisation. If it was done piecemeal, the objections from overseas would remain muffled. It has proved a winning formula.

Fifty years on, the colonisation of East Jerusalem and the West Bank is so entrenched that a two-state solution is nothing more than a pipe dream.

Nonetheless, US president Donald Trump has chosen this inauspicious moment to dispatch an envoy, Jason Greenblatt, to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

In a "goodwill" response, Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has unveiled a framework for settlement building. It is exactly the kind of formula for deception that has helped Israel consolidate the occupation since 1967.

Mr Netanyahu says expansion will be "restricted" to "previously developed" settlements, or "adjacent" areas, or, depending on the terrain, "land close" to a settlement.

Peace Now points out that the settlements already have jurisdiction over some 10 per cent of the West Bank, while far more is treated as "state land". The new framework, says the group, gives the settlers a green light to "build everywhere".

The Trump White House has shrugged its shoulders. A statement following Mr Netanyahu’s announcement judged the settlements no "impediment to peace", adding that Israel’s commitments to previous US administrations would be treated as moot.

Effectively, the US is wiping the slate clean, creating a new baseline for negotiations after decades of Israeli changes stripping the Palestinians of territory and rights.

Although none of this bodes well, Egypt and Jordan’s leaders met Mr Trump this month to push for renewed talks between Israel and the Palestinians. The White House is said to be preparing to welcome the Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas. Some senior Palestinians are rightly wary. Abbas Zaki, a Fatah leader, fears Mr Trump will try to impose a regional solution on Arab states, over Mr Abbas’s head, designed to "eliminate the Palestinian cause altogether".

David Ben Gurion, Israel’s founding father, reportedly once said:

"What matters is not what the goyim [non-Jews] say, but what the Jews do."

For nearly a quarter of a century, the Oslo accords dangled an illusory peace carrot that usefully distracted the global community as Israel nearly quadrupled its settler population, making even a highly circumscribed Palestinian state unrealisable. Now, that game plan is about to be revived in new form. While the US, Israel, Jordan and Egypt focus on the hopeless task of creating a regional framework for peace, Israel will be left undisturbed once again to seize more dunams and more goats.

In Israel, the debate is no longer simply about whether to build settler homes, or about how many can be justified. Government ministers argue instead about the best moment to annex vast areas of the West Bank associated with so-called settlement blocs such as Gush Etzion. Israel’s imminent celebrations should lay to rest any confusion that the occupation is still considered temporary. But when occupation becomes permanent, it metamorphoses into something far uglier.

It is past time to recognise that Israel has established an apartheid regime and one that serves as a vehicle for incremental ethnic cleansing. If there are to be talks, ending that outrage must be their first task.

Jonathan Cook is an independent journalist in Nazareth

Worse than "Gitmo": Britain's Rendition System

British Rendition Process "Worse than Guantanamo"

by TRNN


April 17, 2017

Britain has a rendition and detention process in place that is worse than the US system says Clive Stafford Smith of the human rights group Reprieve.



Clive Stafford Smith is the founder and director of Reprieve, an organization of human rights defenders who provide free legal and investigative support to those facing state-sanctioned execution, rendition, torture, extrajudicial imprisonment and extrajudicial killing. 

BC Supreme Court to Hear BCLiberal Kinder Morgan Conflict of Interest Allegations

B.C. Supreme Court to review Christy Clark’s ethics a few days before election

by National Observer


April 13, 2017

The BC Liberals have agreed to put their financial ties to a Texas multinational pipeline company and their ethics to the test at the province's Supreme Court less than a week before British Columbians go to the polls for a May 9 general election.

The court case was launched in January by Pipe Up Network and Democracy Watch.

It began when the two advocacy groups filed a petition asking the Supreme Court to force the B.C. government, Premier Christy Clark, Environment Minister Mary Polak and Natural Gas Development Minister Rich Coleman to respond to conflict of interest allegations. The groups alleged that the BC Liberal government's support for a major pipeline project was unethical after the political party accepted hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of donations from the oil and gas industry.

Kinder Morgan is proposing to triple the capacity of its existing Trans Mountain pipeline so that it can carry up to 890,000 barrels of diluted bitumen from Alberta's oil sands to Burnaby, B.C.. While proponents say the project will create thousands of jobs and boost the economy, detractors express concern about potential environmental impacts arising from an expected five-fold increase in tanker traffic along the Burrard Inlet.

A court date was initially set on Wednesday, April 12 to review the allegations, but the BC Liberal Party's lawyer said he'd only been hired the day before and needed more time to respond. Lawyers on both sides of the legal battle agreed to adjourn the case until May 3, following an agreement that the BC Liberals would file their responses by April 24.

The two advocacy groups argued in their petition that the Clark government's review of the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion was influenced by large political donations to the BC Liberals by Kinder Morgan, the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, and other companies that stand to benefit from the new pipeline. According to the groups' affidavit, these companies have contributed hundreds of thousands of dollars to the BC Liberal Party since 2011. None of the groups' allegations have been proven in court.

"We're asking the court to quash their pipeline approval, because we believe there's been bias," said Pipe Up Network spokesperson and policy analyst Lynn Perrin.

"We feel that it's absolutely correct to name the premier in this action because we think she's in a conflict of interest."

The B.C. government has no legal power to block the Kinder Morgan Trans Mountain approval, as the pipeline was approved by the federal government in November. In 2010, the B.C. government signed an equivalency agreement to forfeit its own environmental assessment. That agreement gave Ottawa the final say over five pipeline projects, including the Kinder Morgan expansion. Last year, the B.C. Supreme Court ruled that the province could not offload its duty to consult for environmental approvals, so the province did its assessment, ultimately approving the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion.

The groups say Premier Clark is in a conflict of interest because she has received payments totaling over $300,000 from the BC Liberal Party, over the period of the Kinder Morgan Trans Mountain pipeline review and approval process. The groups allege this payment, which is on top of the nearly $200,000 she earns annually as premier, puts her in potential conflict, because she likely would not be receiving this extra income were it not for the funds raised from large corporations.

Democracy Watch founder Duff Conacher said he hopes this lawsuit will shed more light on how big corporate donations influence politics.

"Everyone has known for years how controversial this money is," he said. According to the B.C. conflict of interest laws, even the appearance of a conflict can land political parties and candidates in hot water, he added.

"If a reasonable person, being informed of the facts, can say, 'yes, that likely had an influence', then you wouldn't be allowed to take part in the decision," he said, of the BC Liberal government's approval of the Kinder Morgan pipeline expansion.

He's calling for an audit of political contributions going back five years to the last election to help increase transparency around money in B.C's politics, which The New York Times described as a "Wild West" for corporate donations.

Delay tactics?


Jason Gratl, the lawyer representing Democracy Watch, said he wasn't sure if the BC Liberals were intentionally stalling, but he said it was strange that it took so long to for them to hire a lawyer. He said they would have known about this court case since at least March 21, if not earlier.

"It's very peculiar, but the BC Liberals waited until the last moment to hire a lawyer," said Jason Gratl, the lawyer representing Democracy Watch and Pipe Up Network's case. Gratl spoke to National Observer on Wednesday, shortly after the court hearing was adjourned.

Gratl said that he believes his clients have a sound argument, if any independent observer can look at the donations to the BC Liberals by oil and gas companies and conclude that these might have "consciously or unconsciously" influenced their review of the pipeline expansion. 

"I think to any reasonable person this doesn't pass the smell test," Gratl said.

Kinder Morgan and the BC Liberal Party did not respond to requests for comment.

Sunday, April 16, 2017

First the Headline: Verdict Driven Journalism

Trump’s Tomahawks – The Instant Certainty Of The ‘Mainstream’ Press

by Editor - Media Lens


12 April 2017

As ever, it didn't take long for them to make up their minds. Roy Greenslade reports in the Guardian on the media reaction to Donald Trump's bombardment of Syria in 'retaliation' (USA Today) for the alleged chemical weapons attacks on Khan Sheikhoun, Idlib, Syria:

'There was an identifiable theme in almost every leading article and commentary: "Well done Donald, but ... " The "buts" amounted to eloquent judgments on the president's character, conveying explicit messages of disquiet and distrust.'

In other words, almost every leading article and commentary in every UK newspaper supported Trump's blitz.

Much the same was true in the United States where Fairness and Accuracy in Reporting (FAIR) found that of 46 major editorials, only one, in the Houston Chronicle, opposed the attack. FAIR's Adam Johnson reported:

'83% of major editorial boards supported Trump's Syria strikes, 15% were ambiguous and 2% - or one publication - opposed.'

FAIR found similar bias in media coverage of the 2003 Iraq war and the 2011 Libya war.

The support for Trump's attack was of course based on instant certainty that Assad had deployed chemical weapons in Idlib. Barely two days after the alleged attacks, a leader in The Times commented:

'Assad's latest atrocity, the dropping of several hundred kilograms of toxic sarin gas on civilians, including children, is a breach of international law...'

An Independent leader one day later titled, 'The US strike against Assad was justified', explained:

'The use of chemical weapons is a special crime. It is prohibited by international law. It follows that the sarin gas attack in Idlib, Syria, on Tuesday, ought to have consequences.'

The editors noted that 'we are not in a position to be completely certain about Mr Assad's complicity in this case' - but the attack was 'justified' anyway.

A confused leader in the Sunday Telegraph observed that 'the alleged use of chemical weapons last week demanded a reaction'. Does an allegation demand a reaction? In reality, the paper waved away any doubts:

'Inaction against Assad would mean tolerance of a war crime.'

This near-universal support came despite the fact, as Elizabeth Jackson noted on Australia's ABC website, that 'international law experts today are warning that the US strikes were, in fact, illegal'. Ben Saul, professor of international law at the University of Sydney, commented:

'It's pretty clear that the strikes are illegal under international law, because they're not a use of force in self-defence, or with the authorisation of the Security Council, which are the only two circumstances in which the use of military force is legal under the United Nations Charter of 1945.'

Saul added:

'So, international law very tightly regulates the use of military force, and using violence to punish another country is simply not permitted under international law. Syria hasn't attacked another country.'

We looked in vain for scepticism about the pretext for bombing from the handful of dissidents at the 'liberal left' of the corporate 'spectrum'. The Guardian's Owen Jones wrote of 'the gassing of little kids who suffered unbearable torture as they were murdered by the Assad regime'. No doubt there, then. Jones's dissident colleague at the Guardian, George Monbiot, tweeted:

'We can be 99% sure the chemical weapons attack came from Syrian govt'

Senior Guardian columnist and former comment editor Jonathan Freedland wrote:

'And we almost certainly know who did it. Every sign points to the regime of Bashar al-Assad.'

Freedland dismissed alternative explanations with the familiar mixture of certainty and contempt that is such a feature of Western warmongering:

'Sure, Damascus blamed the rebels who hold the town of Khan Sheikhoun, as they always do. And, yes, Assad's enablers and accomplices in Moscow offered a variation on that theme, saying that Syrian planes had struck a rebel stockpile of nerve agents, accidentally releasing them into the atmosphere.'

On April 5, the day after the alleged attack, Democracy Now! led with a headline that appeared to endorse the 'mainstream' view:

'"The Assad Regime is a Moral Disgrace": Noam Chomsky on Ongoing Syrian War'

Chomsky doubtless had nothing to do with a headline that flew in the face of his astute observation on the need for caution in criticising Official Enemies:

'Suppose I criticise Iran. What impact does that have? The only impact it has is in fortifying those who want to carry out policies I don't agree with, like bombing.'

That was certainly true on April 5, two days before Trump bombed Syria at a time when US-UK media were executing a classic propaganda blitz.

The day before Trump's attack, the Stop the War Coalition, no less, affirmed that there had indeed been a chemical weapons attack in Idlib 'which appears to have been carried out by Assad's forces'.

Remarkably, given the extent to which the media's 'pussy-grabbing' bete orange has been damned as an existential, Hitlerian threat to the world, corporate journalists actually egged Trump on to wage war. A Guardian piece by Warren Murray noted:

'A military intervention would mean going directly up against Vladimir Putin, who is fighting on the side of Assad, and probably killing Russians. But failing to act [violently] would look weak.'

Julian Borger and Spencer Ackerman wrote:

'Trump has consistently argued that the failure to deliver on the "red line" threat projected US weakness. But it was far from clear on Wednesday what action his own administration would take now that Assad had crossed "many, many lines".'

Also in the Guardian, former Spectator editor, Matthew d'Ancona went even further in making 'a strong [sic], principled [sic] case for Britain to offer every form of assistance: diplomatic, humanitarian and – yes – military' to Trump's attack on Syria.

Ironically, the only real scepticism on the case for war came from conservative commentators in the Tory press: Peter Oborne and Peter Hitchens in the Daily Mail. Hitchens was asked if he had been invited by the BBC or Sky to share his views. He replied:

'My phone grows more silent, the more I oppose foreign wars.'

Deleting Dissent – The BBC Help To Manufacture A False Consensus


Immediately after the alleged chemical weapons attack, US secretary of state, Rex Tillerson, commented:

'While we continue to monitor the terrible situation, it is clear that this is how Bashar al-Assad operates: with brutal unabashed barbarism... Anyone who uses chemical weapons to attack his own people shows a fundamental disregard for human decency and must be held accountable.'

If Tillerson was certain, then the same UK media that has been so very sceptical of the Trump administration, was certain, too.

The BBC cited Hamish de Bretton-Gordon, a former commanding officer of the British Armed Forces Joint Chemical Biological Radiological Nuclear Regiment [CBRN], who said Russia's assertion that conventional bombs had hit rebel chemical weapons was 'pretty fanciful':

'Axiomatically, if you blow up Sarin, you destroy it.'

He added:

'It's very clear it's a Sarin attack. The view that it's an al-Qaeda or rebel stockpile of Sarin that's been blown up in an explosion, I think is completely unsustainable and completely untrue.'

This was very emphatic, powerful testimony that reached a wide audience – the BBC appeared to be offering an expert view completely discrediting the Russian and Syrian version of events.

But the BBC had earlier published and then deleted the view of Jerry Smith, the official who had led the UN-backed operation to remove Syria's chemical weapons in 2013-2014. Smith told Channel 4 News that the Russian version of events could not be discounted:

'If it is Sarin that was stored there and conventional munitions were used, there is every possibility that some of those [chemical] munitions were not consumed and that the Sarin liquid was ejected and could well have affected the population.'

The News Sniffer website finds that the BBC allowed these comments to appear in several updates of the article before permanently deleting both them and comments made by de Bretton-Gordon. If this appeared even-handed, political analyst Charles Shoebridge noticed that the BBC then created a new article only containing comments by de Bretton-Gordon.

In the past week, the BBC's preferred expert, de Bretton-Gordon, has been a key presence in media coverage. He has published opinion pieces in the Guardian, the Telegraph and the Mail on Sunday; and has been cited, often in several articles, by the Guardian, The Times, the Independent, the New Statesman and the New York Post. By contrast, Jerry Smith, has had one op-ed in the Guardian and been mentioned only once in UK newspapers, again in the Guardian.

The website Military Speakers comments:

'Hamish de Bretton-Gordon is Chief Operating Office of SecureBio Ltd a commercial company offering CBRN Resilience, consultancy and deployable capabilities. Hamish set up SecureBio in 2011 after 23 years' service in the British Army. SecureBio have an impressive list of blue chip clients globally and look after 90% of the World's media operating in Syria from a CBRN resilience perspective... Hamish advises UK Government at the very highest level on CBRN...'

The extent of de Bretton-Gordon's impartiality is indicated by this comment in the Guardian:

'The US airstrikes to neutralise President Assad's ability to conduct chemical attacks - like those we saw in Idlib this week, Aleppo before Christmas and East Ghouta last August - are most welcome.'

In addition to supporting Trump's airstrikes, de Bretton-Gordon openly supports the 'rebels'. He has discussed the need to provide 'advice on the ground to the FSA ['rebels'], which I have constantly called for after I have visited them, [which] will make them a much more effective fighting force'.

He has lobbied for the creation of 'safe havens' and a 'no-fly zone', which would most likely lead to regime change, as happened in Libya. In an article titled, 'Syria's Halabja – Why we must act', de Bretton-Gordon wrote:

'Every senior politician I have lobbied in the last 6 months, except Jo Cox and Andrew Mitchell, told me this No Fly Zone is not possible because of the Russians.'

Like most 'mainstream' commentators, de Bretton-Gordon asserts that the 'WMD "redline" was crossed by Assad's use of chemical weapons' in Ghouta, Damascus, on August 21, 2013, killing hundreds of people, just as weapons inspectors arrived in the city.

However, in January 2014, a report on the attacks was published by Richard Lloyd and Theodore Postol, described by the New York Times as 'leading weapons experts'. Postol in particular has an impressive track record in debunking Pentagon claims, for example on the efficacy of the Patriot missile system.

Lloyd and Postol's report found that the range of the rocket that delivered sarin in the largest attack on Ghouta was too short for the device to have been fired from Syrian government positions, as claimed by the Obama administration. Postol commented:

'I honestly have no idea what happened. My view when I started this process was that it couldn't be anything but the Syrian government behind the attack. But now I'm not sure of anything. The administration narrative was not even close to reality. Our intelligence cannot possibly be correct.'

Lloyd, who had carefully studied weapons capabilities in the Syrian conflict, rejected the claim that rebels were less capable of making these rockets than the Syrian military:

'The Syrian rebels most definitely have the ability to make these weapons. I think they might have more ability than the Syrian government.'

By contrast, in supporting Trump's attacks, 'mainstream' media have had no doubts at all about Ghouta. This month, Jonathan Freedland wrote in the Guardian:

'In 2013, Obama hesitated and havered over Syria's use of chemical weapons...'

BBC diplomatic correspondent Jonathan Marcus wrote this month:

'Sarin has been used before, in Syria in 2013. [The Syrian government] crossed a "red line" drawn by President Barack Obama - but nothing happened.'

The Essential Narrative Is A Sham


Unreported by almost all 'MSM', there has been credible, expert dissent challenging the US-UK view of what happened in Khan Sheikhoun, Idlib.

Hans Blix, former head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, who served as the head of the UN Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission in Iraq, commented:

'I don't know whether in Washington they presented any evidence, but I did not see that in the Security Council. Merely pictures of victims that were held up, that the whole world can see with horror, such pictures are not necessarily evidence of who did it.'

Blix said it was natural to jump to the conclusion that the regime was far more likely than the rebels to have the means to carry out an attack of such a magnitude, but that it was far from proven that it did so:

'If you had a murder and you strongly suspect one fellow, do you go to judgment and execution straight away? Three days after the murder?'

Former chief UN weapons inspector, Scott Ritter – who defied a false political and media consensus by accurately claiming Iraq had been disarmed of 90-95% of its WMD by December 1998 - wrote:

'Early on, the anti-Assad opposition media outlets were labeling the Khan Sheikhoun incident as a "Sarin nerve agent" attack; one doctor affiliated with Al Qaeda sent out images and commentary via social media that documented symptoms, such as dilated pupils, that he diagnosed as stemming from exposure to Sarin nerve agent. Sarin, however, is an odorless, colorless material, dispersed as either a liquid or vapor; eyewitnesses speak of a "pungent odor" and "blue-yellow" clouds, more indicative of chlorine gas.'

Indeed, in a much-discussed article, Guardian reporter Kareem Shaheen wrote:

'All that remains of the attack on the town in rebel-held Idlib province is a faint stench that tingles the nostrils and a small green fragment from the rocket.'

But as the BBC reports:

'Sarin is almost impossible to detect because it is a clear, colourless and tasteless liquid that has no odour in its purest form.'

Ritter continued:

'The lack of viable protective clothing worn by the "White Helmet" personnel while handling victims is another indication that the chemical in question was not military grade Sarin; if it were, the rescuers would themselves have become victims (some accounts speak of just this phenomena, but this occurred at the site of the attack, where the rescuers were overcome by a "pungent smelling" chemical – again, Sarin is odorless.)'

Ritter concluded:

'Mainstream American media outlets have willingly and openly embraced a narrative provided by Al Qaeda affiliates whose record of using chemical weapons in Syria and distorting and manufacturing "evidence" to promote anti-Assad policies in the west, including regime change, is well documented.

'History will show that Donald Trump, his advisors and the American media were little more than willing dupes for Al Qaeda and its affiliates, whose manipulation of the Syrian narrative resulted in a major policy shift that furthers their objectives.'

Philip Giraldi, a CIA counterterrorism official from 1976 to 1992, who has an impressive track record in exposing fake government claims, commented:

'I am hearing from sources on the ground, in the Middle East, the people who are intimately familiar with the intelligence available are saying that the essential narrative we are all hearing about the Syrian government or the Russians using chemical weapons on innocent civilians is a sham. The intelligence confirms pretty much the account the Russians have been giving since last night which is that they hit a warehouse where al Qaida rebels were storing chemicals of their own and it basically caused an explosion that resulted in the casualties.

'Apparently the intelligence on this is very clear, and people both in the Agency and in the military who are aware of the intelligence are freaking out about this because essentially Trump completely misrepresented what he should already have known - but maybe didn't - and they're afraid this is moving towards a situation that could easily turn into an armed conflict.'

Giraldi added:

'These are essentially sources that are right on top of the issue right in the Middle East. They're people who are stationed there with the military and the Intelligence agencies that are aware and have seen the intelligence. And, as I say, they are coming back to contacts over here in the US essentially that they astonished at how this is being played by the administration and by the media and in some cases people are considering going public to stop it. They're that concerned about it, that upset by what's going on.'

Giraldi concluded:

'There was an attack but it was with conventional weapons - a bomb - and the bomb ignited the chemicals that were already in place that had been put in there. Now bear in mind, Assad had no motive for doing this. If anything, he had a negative motive. Trump said there was no longer any reason to remove him from office, well, this was a big win for him [Assad]. To turn around and use chemical weapons 48 hours later, does not fit any reasonable scenario, although I've seen some floated out there, but they are quite ridiculous.'

Our search of the Lexis press database found no mentions of Blix, Giraldi or Ritter in any UK newspaper since the alleged attack in Syria.

The Art Of 'Humanitarian' Warmongering


Is it conceivable that the entire corporate political and media system could be using an unproven, even fraudulent, atrocity claim to justify a case for war?

In October 1990, in the aftermath of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, as the US worked hard to build a case for war, it was claimed that Iraqi stormtroopers had smashed their way into a Kuwait City hospital, ripped hundreds of babies from their incubators and left them on the floor to die. In their book, Toxic Sludge Is Good For You, John Stauber and Sheldon Rampton described how the most powerful and heart-rending testimony came from a 15-year-old Kuwaiti girl, initially known only as Nayirah:

'Sobbing, she described what she had seen with her own eyes in a hospital in Kuwait City... "I volunteered at the al-Addan hospital," Nayirah said. "While I was there, I saw the Iraqi soldiers come into the hospital with guns, and go into the room where... babies were in incubators. They took the babies out of the incubators, took the incubators, and left the babies on the cold floor to die."'

In fact, Nayirah was a member of the Kuwaiti Royal Family. Her father was Saud Nasir al-Sabah, Kuwait's Ambassador to the US. Stauber and Rampton noted that Nayirah had been coached by US PR company Hill & Knowlton's vice-president Lauri Fitz-Pegado 'in what even the Kuwaitis' own investigators later confirmed was false testimony'. The story of the 312 murdered babies was an outright lie. Journalist John MacArthur, author of The Second Front: Censorship and Propaganda in the 1991 Gulf War, commented:

'Of all the accusations made against the dictator [Saddam Hussein], none had more impact on American public opinion than the one about Iraqi soldiers removing 312 babies from their incubators and leaving them to die on the cold hospital floors of Kuwait City.'

In December 1998, Unscom arms inspectors were withdrawn from Iraq at a sensitive time in US politics, as Bill Clinton faced impeachment over the Monica Lewinsky affair. Clinton launched a 4-day series of strikes, Operation Desert Fox, the day before his impeachment referendum was scheduled, and called them off two hours after the vote. Scott Ritter, then chief weapons inspector, noted that just prior to the strikes, 'Inspectors were sent in to carry out sensitive inspections that had nothing to do with disarmament but had everything to do with provoking the Iraqis.' (Scott Ritter and William Rivers Pitt, War on Iraq, Profile Books, 2002, p.52)

In a report published on the second day of bombing, Ritter was quoted as saying:

'What [head of Unscom] Richard Butler did last week with the inspections was a set-up. This was designed to generate a conflict that would justify a bombing.'

Ritter said US government sources had told him three weeks earlier that 'the two considerations on the horizon were Ramadan and impeachment'. (Quoted, New York Post, December 17, 1998)

As another war loomed in March 2003, in an article titled, 'See men shredded, then say you don't back war' (Ann Clwyd, The Times, March 18, 2003), Labour MP Ann Clwyd claimed that Saddam Hussein's goons were feeding opponents into a machine 'designed for shredding plastic' and dumping their minced remains into 'plastic bags' for use as 'fish food'. As Brendan O'Neil commented in the Guardian, Clwyd had based her story on the uncorroborated claims of 'one individual from northern Iraq. Neither Amnesty International nor Human Rights Watch, in their numerous investigations into human rights abuses in Iraq, had ever heard anyone talk of a human-shredding machine'.

In 2011, Western governments and media were united in demanding action to halt a massacre that Muammar Gaddafi was said to be intending to commit in Benghazi. In 2016, a UK parliamentary committee report found:

'Despite his rhetoric, the proposition that Muammar Gaddafi would have ordered the massacre of civilians in Benghazi was not supported by the available evidence... Gaddafi regime forces targeted male combatants in a civil war and did not indiscriminately attack civilians. More widely, Muammar Gaddafi's 40-year record of appalling human rights abuses did not include large-scale attacks on Libyan civilians.'

We could cite numerous similar examples. If we had a free press, a central focus would be to consider any and all new atrocity claims in the light of this remarkable track record of gross deception serving state violence.

DE

Manufacturing Confusion: Trump Adds Crazy to "Madman" Doctrine

Manufacturing Consent For War In Syria: Trump’s Strategy Of Unpredictability

by Whitney Webb - MintPress News 


April 14, 2017

Trump once promised that his trusted tactic of unpredictability, the cornerstone of his much-touted negotiation strategy, would be used to target foreign governments like China to carve out better deals for the American people. Now, Trump is using that same tactic against the American people in order to facilitate his expansion of U.S. involvement in the Syrian conflict.

At the end of March, the Trump administration won the approval of anti-war activists and others opposed to U.S.-led regime change efforts abroad when Secretary of State Rex Tillerson told reporters gathered in Istanbul that the “longer term of [Syrian] President Assad will be decided by the Syrian people.” Tillerson’s announcement, at the time, was considered a major departure from the policy of Trump’s predecessor, Barack Obama, who had made removing Assad from power one of its key motivations for the country’s involvement in the Syrian conflict.

For that reason, the Trump administration’s dramatic reversal a week later – which saw regime change in Syria become a top priority once again and culminated in Trump’s bombing of a Syrian airbase – came as a shock to many American and international spectators.

Before the shock from Trump’s use of military power against Syria wore off, Trump reversed yet again, telling the New York Post on Tuesday that “we’re not going into Syria. Our policy is the same – it hasn’t changed. We’re not going into Syria.” Yet, less than a week prior, Trump had stated that his “attitude towards Syria and Assad has changed very much.” Trump also told Fox Business on Tuesday that US troops are “not going into Syria” despite the fact that thousands of U.S. troops are already there.

While Trump asserted that his policy in Syria hadn’t changed, Secretary of State Tillerson, in Moscow this week, stated the opposite on the very same day. Tillerson warned Russia that it must choose between its long-standing alliance with Assad or to stand with the U.S. and “like-minded” nations who support regime change, adding that “it is clear to all of us that the reign of the Assad family is coming to an end.”



Watch Tillerson: ‘Steps Are Underway’ to Remove Assad:


Tillerson isn’t alone. In fact, every other high-ranking official in the Trump administration is claiming that regime change in Syria is “underway” – except the President himself, apparently. On Sunday, U.S. envoy to the UN, Nikki Haley, said that Syria will not experience peace until Assad is removed from power and called regime change “inevitable.” National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster also told Politico on Sunday that the U.S. was eager for regime change.

Then, a day later,, the White House press secretary Sean Spicer said that the commonly used “barrel bomb” could be grounds for another U.S. strike against the Syrian government – despite the fact that U.S. ally Saudi Arabia has made extensive use of barrel bombs in Yemen without so much as a peep from the Trump or Obama administrations. Either Trump has dramatically failed in keeping his top officials update on the administration’s policies or something else is afoot.

Given that the U.S. has been steadily increasing its illegal ground troop presence in Syria over the past month – which the military admits will stay in Syria long after the defeat of Daesh (ISIS) – and that top generals are calling for even more troops to be deployed, future U.S. action against Syria seems clear. Yet, another indication that the US is set to escalate its presence in Syria after all came on Thursday when Bloomberg reported that Trump is likely to send between 10,000 to 50,000 more ground troops to Syria in the near future, citing senior White House and administration officials.

The Tactic Of Unpredictability


This dichotomy over the administration’s Syria policy begs the question: Why would the Trump administration and the President himself waffle back and forth in their rhetoric in apparent disconnect from one another – especially at a time when all indications point to the clear advancement of U.S. military intervention in Syria? Look no further than Trump’s 2015 book “Great Again: How to Fix Our Crippled America” where he states:

“The element of surprise wins battles. So I don’t tell the other side what I’m doing, I don’t warn them, and I don’t let them fit me comfortably into a predictable pattern.”

Trump’s tactic of unpredictability is one of his most touted, an apparent cornerstone of his negotiation strategy with foreign governments, particularly China. As MintPress previously reported, Trump advisor and renowned China expert Michael Pillsbury asserted in January that Trump’s inconsistency with key issues for the Chinese government – from the one-China policy to tensions in the South China Sea – was intentional, intended to keep their leadership off balance in order to give Trump the advantage in order to obtain “once unthinkable” concessions from the Chinese. Recent events suggest that this has been fairly effective, with China bowing to U.S. pressure regarding rising tensions with North Korea.

Now, a few months later, Trump is again using his same tried and true tactic of intentional unpredictability and obfuscation of his true motives against the American people. While Trump himself is claiming that his policy on Syria hasn’t changed – despite saying the opposite in the days prior to the strike – members of his administration are simultaneously saying the opposite.


Trump’s campaign stance on Syria:


While Presidents and presidential candidates in the past have often “flip-flopped,” Trump’s policy change in Syria is not done with the intention of garnering votes or increasing his popularity. Unlike notable “flip-flops” like Hillary Clinton’s reversal on the Trans-Pacific partnership during the 2016 campaign, Trump’s back-and-forth on Syria is changing by the hour – marking it as an intentional move to keep the American public unsure and on edge. With such doubt over whether or not Trump will further escalate U.S. involvement in Syria, opposition to waging a war without congressional approval to create another disastrous vacuum of power in the Middle East is significantly more difficult to coalesce and, thus, less likely to amount any meaningful challenge.

Some, particularly Trump’s most fervent supporters, will be inclined to take the President at his word and continue to believe that he will abide by what he says publicly. However, the fact that Trump has left nearly all of campaign promises behind to rot – including his promise to avoid intervention in Syria – should caution everyone to heed Trump’s actions, not his words.

Indeed, in less than 24 hours this past week, Trump reversed on no less than five core campaign promises including the role of NATO and the future of the Federal Reserve among others. Combined with his earlier abandonment of Obamacare repeal, his tax plan, and NAFTA renegotiation, Trump’s action clearly demonstrate that he is as mainstream a politician as any of his predecessors who will continue to follow the beck and call of the “deep state” over the people who elected him.

With many former Trump supporters now starting to realize that they have been duped, Trump is now using his unpredictability psy-op tactic – which he once promised to use to benefit the American people – against them in order to create confusion and weaken dissent regarding Trump’s transformation from “anti-establishment” politician to a carbon copy of Hillary Clinton.

Whitney Webb is a MintPress contributor who has written for several news organizations in both English and Spanish; her stories have been featured on ZeroHedge, the Anti-Media, 21st Century Wire, and True Activist among others - she currently resides in Southern Chile.
More articles by Whitney Webb

Disappearing Russia-Gate: Shutting the Door on US-Russia Detente

What Russia-gate Has Wrought

by Robert Parry  - Consortium News


April 16, 2017

Democrats, liberals and some progressives might be feeling a little perplexed over what has happened to Russia-gate, the story that pounded Donald Trump every day since his election last November – until April 4, that is.

On April 4, Trump fully capitulated to the neoconservative bash-Russia narrative amid dubious claims about a chemical attack in Syria.


Green Party leader Jill Stein and retired Lt. General 
Michael Flynn attending a dinner marking the RT 
network’s tenth anniversary in Moscow, December 2015, 
sitting at the same table as Russian President Vladimir Putin. 

On April 6, Trump fired off 59 Tomahawk missiles at a Syrian airbase; he also restored the neocon demand for “regime change” in Syria; and he alleged that Russia was possibly complicit in the supposed chemical attack.

Since Trump took those actions – in accordance with the neocon desires for more “regime change” in the Middle East and a costly New Cold War with Russia – Russia-gate has almost vanished from the news.

I did find a little story in the lower right-hand corner of page A12 of Saturday’s New York Times about a still-eager Democratic congressman, Mike Quigley of Illinois, who spent a couple of days in Cyprus which attracted his interest because it is a known site for Russian money-laundering, but he seemed to leave more baffled than when he arrived.

“The more I learn, the more complex, layered and textured I see the Russia issue is – and that reinforces the need for professional full-time investigators,” Quigley said, suggesting that the investigation’s failure to strike oil is not that the holes are dry but that he needs better drill bits.

Yet, given all the hype and hullabaloo over Russia-gate, the folks who were led to believe that the vague and amorphous allegations were “bigger than Watergate” might now be feeling a little used. It appears they may have been sucked into a conspiracy frenzy in which the Establishment exploited their enthusiasm over the “scandal” in a clever maneuver to bludgeon an out-of-step new President back into line.

If that’s indeed the case, perhaps the most significant success of the Russia-gate ploy was the ouster of Trump’s original National Security Adviser Michael Flynn, who was seen as a key proponent of a New Détente with Russia, and his replacement by General H.R. McMaster, a protégé of neocon favorite, retired Gen. David Petraeus.

McMaster was viewed as the key player in arranging the April 6 missile strike on Syria and in preparing a questionable “intelligence assessment” on April 11 to justify the rush to judgment. Although McMaster’s four-page white paper has been accepted as gospel by the mainstream U.S. news media, its many weaknesses have been noted by actual experts, such as MIT national security and technology professor Theodore Postol.

How Washington Works


But the way Official Washington works is that Trump was made to look weak when he argued for a more cooperative and peaceful relationship with Russia. Hillary Clinton dubbed him Vladimir Putin’s “puppet” and “Saturday Night Live” portrayed Trump as in thrall to a bare-chested Putin. More significantly, front-page stories every morning and cable news segments every night created the impression of a compromised U.S. President in Putin’s pocket.

Conversely, Trump was made to look strong when he fired off missiles against a Syrian airbase and talked tough about Russian guilt. Neocon commentator Charles Krauthammer praised Trump’s shift as demonstrating that “America is back.”

Trump further enhanced his image for toughness when his military dropped the GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast Bomb (MOAB), nicknamed the “mother of all bombs,” on some caves in Afghanistan. While the number of casualties inflicted by the blast was unclear, Trump benefited from the admiring TV and op-ed commentaries about him finally acting “presidential.”

But the real test of political courage is to go against the grain on a policy that may be unpopular in the short term but is in the best interests of the United States and the world community in the longer term.

In that sense, Trump seeking peaceful cooperation with Russia – amid the intense anti-Russian propaganda of the past several years – required actual courage, while launching missiles and dropping bombs might win praise but actually make the U.S. position in the world weaker.

Trump, however, saw his fledgling presidency crumbling under the daily barrage of Russia-gate, even though there was no evidence that his campaign colluded with Russia to interfere with the U.S. election and there wasn’t even clear evidence that Russia was behind the disclosure of Democratic emails, via WikiLeaks, during the campaign.

Still, the combined assault from the Democrats, the neocons and the mainstream media forced Trump to surrender his campaign goal of achieving a more positive relationship with Russia and greater big-power collaboration in the fight against terrorism.

For Trump, the incessant chatter about Russia-gate was like a dripping water torture. The thin-skinned Trump fumed at his staff and twittered messages aimed at changing the narrative, such as accusing President Obama of “wiretapping” Trump Tower. But nothing worked.

However, once Trump waved the white flag by placing his foreign policy under the preferred banner of the neoconservatives, the Russia-gate pressure stopped. The op-ed pages suddenly were hailing his “decisiveness.” If you were a neocon, you might say about Russia-gate: Mission accomplished!

Russia-gate’s Achievements


Besides whipping Trump into becoming a more compliant politician, Russia-gate could claim some other notable achievements: it spared the national Democrats from having to confront their own failures in Campaign 2016 by diverting responsibility for the calamity of Trump’s election.

Instead of Democratic leaders taking responsibility for picking a dreadful candidate, ignoring the nation’s anti-establishment mood, and failing to offer any kind of inspiring message, the national Democrats could palm off the blame on “Russia! Russia! Russia!”

Thus, rather than looking in the mirror and trying to figure out how to correct their deep-seated problems, the national Democrats could instead focus on a quixotic tilting at Trump’s impeachment.

Many on the Left joined in this fantasy because they have been so long without a Movement that the huge post-inaugural “pussy hat” marches were a temptation that they couldn’t resist. Russia-gate became the fuel to keep the “Movement” bandwagon rolling. #Resistance!

It didn’t matter that the “scandal” – the belief that Russia somehow conspired with Trump to rig the U.S. presidential election – amounted to a bunch of informational dots that didn’t connect.

Russia-gate also taught the American “left” to learn to love McCarthyism since “proof” of guilt pretty much amounted to having had contact with a Russian — and anyone who questioned the dubious factual basis of the “scandal” was dismissed as a “Russian propagandist” or a “Moscow stooge” or a purveyor of “fake news.”

Another Russia-gate winner was the mainstream news media which got a lot of mileage – and loads of new subscription money – by pushing the convoluted conspiracy. The New York Times positioned itself as the great protector of “truth” and The Washington Post adopted a melodramatic new slogan: “Democracy Dies in Darkness.”

On Thanksgiving Day, the Post ran a front-page article touting an anonymous Internet group called PropOrNot that identified some 200 Internet news sites, including Consortiumnews.com and other major sources of independent journalism, as guilty of “Russian propaganda.” Facts weren’t needed; no chance for rebuttal; the accusers even got to hide in the shadows; the smear was the thing.

The Post and the Times also conflated complaints against news outlets that dared to express skepticism toward claims from the U.S. State Department and some entrepreneurial sites that trafficked in intentionally made-up stories or “fake news” to make money.

To the Post and Times, there appeared to be no difference between questioning the official U.S. narrative on, say, the Ukraine crisis and knowingly fabricating pretend news articles to get lots of clicks. Behind the smokescreen of Russia-gate, the mainstream U.S. news media took the position that there was only one side to a story, what Official Washington chose to believe.

While it’s likely that there will be some revival of Russia-gate to avoid the appearance of a completely manufactured scandal, the conspiracy theory’s more significant near-term consequence could be that it has taught Donald Trump a dangerous lesson.

If he finds himself in a tight spot, the way out is to start bombing some “enemy” halfway around the world. The next time, however, the target might not be so willing to turn the other cheek. If, say, Trump launches a preemptive strike against North Korea, the result could be a retaliatory nuclear attack against South Korea or Japan.

Or, if the neocons push ahead with their ultimate “regime change” strategy of staging a “color revolution” in Moscow to overthrow Putin, the outcome might be – not the pliable new leader that the neocons would want – but an unstable Russian nationalist who might see a nuclear attack on the U.S. as the only way to protect the honor of Mother Russia.

For all his faults, Trump did offer a more temperate approach toward U.S.-Russian relations, which also could have tamped down spending for nuclear and other strategic weapons and freed up some of that money for infrastructure and other needs at home. But that was before Russia-gate.

Investigative reporter Robert Parry broke many of the Iran-Contra stories for The Associated Press and Newsweek in the 1980s. You can buy his latest book, America’s Stolen Narrative, either in print here or as an e-book (from Amazon and barnesandnoble.com).
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Missiles as Sideshow: Syria Eyes Jordanian Frontier Warily

Syria: Watching the Jordanian Border

by Tony Cartalucci - NEO


April 14, 2017

While focus regarding the Syrian conflict has shifted almost exclusively to recent US cruise missile strikes, what the strikes are designed to lay the groundwork for holds much larger implications. Particular attention should be focused on US forces operating both within Syrian territory and along Syria’s borders. Normalizing the use of stand-off weapons like cruise missiles makes it easier and more likely that similar attacks will unfold in the near future – particularly if Syria and its allies fail to demonstrate a significant deterrence against future attacks.

The use of stand-off weapons by the United States and the routine use of airstrikes by US allies including Israel within Syrian territory will likely open the door to wider and more direct military intervention against the Syrian government.

Punitive strikes will shift incrementally to a concerted effort to dismantle Syria’s fighting capacity, inviting either US proxies to overthrow the Syrian government, or for US forces to do so directly – or likely a combination of both.

Preparing for just such an escalation are not only US forces continuously expanding the scale and scope of their presence in eastern Syria and NATO-member Turkey’s forces in northern Syria, but also a US-led proxy army being staged in and operated from, for years now, in Jordan.

Jordan: The Other “Turkey”


It was from Jordan that a rumored column of US armored vehicles recently entered Syrian territory. CNN, in an article titled, “Coalition and Syrian opposition forces repel ISIS attack,” would report that:

Anti-ISIS coalition troops and allied Syrian opposition forces have repelled an attack by the terrorist group on a joint base in southern Syria, according to the coalition.
The US-led coalition said ISIS initiated a complex attack on Saturday at the At Tanf Garrison on the Syrian-Jordanian border using a vehicle-borne IED, and 20-30 fighters followed with a ground assault and suicide vests.

CNN would also report that:

Some American forces were at the base at the time of the assault, the official said.

Additionally, for years, US policymakers and media platforms have discussed both potential plans for staging an invading force in Jordan, as well as ongoing efforts to stand up a proxy force in Jordan before moving it into Syrian territory.

In 2015, the Guardian in an article titled, “US begins training Syrian rebels in Jordan to become anti-Isis force,” would report:

Jordanian officials told reporters on Thursday that coalition forces have begun training prescreened rebels at a site inside the Middle Eastern kingdom. Training locations are also expected to begin operation in Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

A 2016 article by the Washington Post titled, “Revamped U.S. training program, with new goals, has trained fewer than 100 Syrians so far,” would report:

U.S. military officials are considering ways to ramp up training of Syrian fighters against the Islamic State as the Pentagon moves cautiously forward with a revamped program to create an effective local ground force.

The series of setbacks hindering the creation of an “opposition army” from scratch, and even setbacks in training and effectively utilizing existing militant and terrorist groups may be why the US has also sought to create its own large and growing military presence in Jordan.

In 2013, the Heritage Foundation would publish an article titled, “Hagel Announces Deployment of U.S. Troops to Jordan in Response to Worsening Syria Crisis,” claiming:

Although initially tasked with playing a support role in assisting Jordan in developing contingency plans for mitigating the destabilizing spillover effects of Syria’s civil war, the troops could “potentially form a joint task force for military operations, if ordered.” The headquarters staff will lay the foundation for a formal U.S. military presence that could grow to 20,000 troops or more, if the Obama Administration activates contingency plans for a major U.S. military intervention.

According to most estimates from across the Western media, approximately 1,000-2,000 US service members are currently stationed in Jordan. Expanding that number to 20,000 or more would surely be noticed by Syrian, Russian, and Iranian intelligence agencies. Likewise, the creation and deployment of a full-scale invasion force created by America’s Persian Gulf allies or NATO-member Turkey would likewise be noticed long before having a chance to storm Syrian territory.

Invasion or Further Balkanization?


Instead of a full-scale invasion, what is more likely is the incremental Balkanization of Syria, with Turkey already holding significant territory in the north, Israel maintaining its long-term occupation of the Golan Heights in the west, US troops occupying Syrian territory in east, alongside Persian Gulf sponsored terrorists holding both the eastern city of Raqqa and the northern city of Idlib.

A US-led incursion into southern Syria could likewise carve off territory even if such an incursion falls short of reaching Damascus or toppling the government presiding there.

With focus elsewhere – particularly along Syria’s border with Turkey and amid operations aimed at taking back both Raqqa and Idlib – Jordan has enjoyed relative obscurity amid geopolitical analysis. However – as the endgame approaches and the US increasingly becomes desperate – Jordan’s role as a staging point and potential vector into Syria for additional US troops and for the carving out of additional Syrian territory should be noted and brought to the public’s attention.

Additionally, it is important for the public to understand that America’s “new policy” toward Syria is simply a redux of years – even decades – of attempts to use both proxy and direct military force against the Syrian state to depose its government and create either a proxy or a failed state to take its place. While many personal and political motivations will be assigned to US President Donald Trump for why “he” is pursuing expanded aggression against Syria, it should be noted that the plans “he” is now executing sat on former President Barack Obama’s desk for years waiting for the right moment to be implemented – only to be complicated by Syrian resilience and Russia’s 2015 intervention.

With this in mind, and with pressure on the Jordanian government, Jordan may rein in US forces operating from its territory, hindering, even if ever so slightly, US ambitions to further compound Syria’s tragic, ongoing conflict.

Tony Cartalucci, Bangkok-based geopolitical researcher and writer, especially for the online magazine New Eastern Outlook”.

What a Difference a Generation Doesn't Make: Moving Back the Clock to a Nuclear Midnight

Breaking tradition championed by his father, Trudeau boycotts key UN disarmament initiative

by Linda McQuaig - Rabble.ca


April 13, 2017

Now that Donald Trump has proven himself presidential by bombing a Syrian airbase, I guess we can all relax. Of course, there's an off chance that things won't work out well, that the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists will be proven correct in their decision, following Trump's inauguration, to move the Doomsday Clock closer to midnight than it has been since 1953.

Photo: Adam Scotti/PMO

Trump appears to have stumbled on the time-honoured technique used by world leaders with flagging approval ratings -- strike a foreign military target, preferably one that won't strike back, at least not right away.

Sadly, our own prime minister has backed Trump's illegal attack on Syria, lending credence to the narrative that the president was deeply moved by the plight of Syrian babies -- as long as those toddlers don't get any ideas about crossing the Atlantic.

Having Trump's back may be Trudeau's idea of putting Canada back on the world stage, but it feels more like a revival of the Harper era.

And while the Trudeau team is very worked up about chemical weapons, they seem strangely unconcerned about nuclear ones.

Indeed, the Trudeau government is breaking a long-standing and worthy Canadian practice by snubbing important new UN negotiations aimed at nuclear disarmament.

The new talks, involving more than 120 nations, have been hailed as the most significant development in nuclear disarmament in two decades. They were launched in New York late last month -- with Canada refusing to participate.

While the media has largely ignored the story, Canada's boycott has prompted condemnation from more than 900 Order of Canada recipients, led by Nobel-laureate John Polanyi and former Canadian Ambassador for Disarmament Douglas Roche, who calls the Trudeau government's stance "astounding" and "a denial of the country's long track record of working constructively for nuclear disarmament."

Ironically, that long record included Pierre Trudeau, who in 1983 showed some outside-the-box thinking and considerable gumption in leading a peace mission to Moscow, Washington and other nuclear capitals, to press for an end to the nuclear arms race.

That moxie doesn't appear to run in the family, even though the world needs it now more than ever, with Trump tweeting about his intention to "greatly strengthen and expand" America's nuclear capability. (Who knows what button he might reach for if he sees more photos of injured babies?)

Even before Trump, the revival of world spending on nuclear arms and the gridlock in disarmament talks led a group of 50 exasperated nations, supported by a worldwide grassroots movement, to push for a new UN initiative aimed at establishing "a legally binding instrument to prohibit nuclear weapons."

The innovative move won the overwhelming support of 123 out of 193 nations in a UN vote last October.

But the U.S. and the other big nuclear powers rejected the initiative. Washington also pushed its NATO allies to vote no, arguing in a letter that the initiative was "fundamentally at odds with NATO's basic policies …"

Trudeau, showing none of his father's mettle, capitulated to the U.S. pressure, bypassing a chance to step up to the plate on an issue crying out for world leadership.

Worse, by voting no, Trudeau offered up Canada's international prestige to the U.S. boycott of the talks, providing Washington cover for its refusal to come to the table.

Interestingly, the Netherlands, also a NATO ally, is participating in the talks. It turns out the world needs more Holland.

The Trudeau government insists there's no need to participate because, without the nuclear-armed states involved, the talks have no chance of succeeding.

But that's surely the reason to participate; the leaders of nuclear states must be made to feel the sting of global disapproval for forcing us to live in a world on hair-trigger alert, potentially only minutes away from annihilation.

No other issue imperils us all so immediately and profoundly, nor faces such big power resistance. Leaders of nuclear-armed nations want to preserve the status quo, keep the limelight focused elsewhere, with the public lulled into believing there's little immediate danger and no prospect of eliminating nuclear weapons anyway.

The only hope, in the face of media neglect and big power intransigence, is to create a groundswell of humanity clamouring for nuclear leaders to come to the negotiating table. That's no easy task, but having 120 countries already assembled around the table, demanding action, is a good starting point.

So where's Canada -- not at the table, it turns out, but off having a smoke with the big guys.

Linda McQuaig is a journalist and author. Her book Shooting the Hippo: Death by Deficit and Other Canadian Myths was among the books selected by the Literary Review of Canada as the "25 most influential Canadian books of the past 25 years." This column originally appeared in the Toronto Star.